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Game Revolution Exposed: Haiku Fridays biased in favor of veterans!
Posted on Friday, July 29 2011 @ 18:57:36 Eastern

Fuck Haiku Friday

A veteran-biased scam

I’ll prove it with math
 
Haiku Friday was birthed from the moist mind-womb of Duke Ferris on April 17, 2009.

Having acquired beta invites for new MMO Free Realms, Louis C.K.’s emaciated twin brother elected to distribute them amongst the hoi polloi by ranking their worth as people.

He chose with the same metric God uses to decide who goes to heaven: the American haiku.
 
Four centuries after the Portuguese introduced firearms to the daimyo in 1543, the Japanese passed an even more destructive force on to Western culture. The American haiku, or “Baka na Amerikajin” in Japanese, consists of seventeen syllables spread across three lines in a five-seven-five distribution. The use of a season word is also considered standard practice, though masters will substitute an 'iron haiku ingredient' in its place.
 
But alas, though the haiku itself is the perfect measure of pureness in character, Game Revolution eschews judging on merit and instead unfairly favors senior members, specifically those from 2005-2007, when assigning prize recipients. Discounting the contests in which every entrant won by default or the victor was not publicly announced, one hundred sixty prizes have been awarded to eighty-four unique winners over one hundred contests. Consider those winners. First is LawnGnome, with wins in eleven individual Haiku Fridays, a confessed felon with a record as long as Arizona is filled with scorpions. His join date: April 25, 2007. Ranking second with seven wins is De-Ting, a forumer who famously convinced Blake Morse that surgically exposing and then swallowing his own intestinal tract would perpetually power his body. He joined Game Revolution on November 11, 2006. In third place with six wins is the abstruse Rinnon. Some sources claim he was the original one hundred fifty first Pokemon, while others describe him as “the idea of superluminal velocity made manifest.” Join date: November eighth, two thousand FIVE. Between them—13% of all discrete Haiku Friday prizes.

But why stop there? Let’s use a discrete probability density function--I mean, a bar graph--to view the percentage of total discrete prize winners from each year (the blue lines) as compared with the percentage of total unique entrances in each contest from each year (the red lines). The higher the blue line is from the red one in the years 2005, 2006 and 2007, the heavier those elitist *******s heading Game Revolution are biased against newer members.

PDF.jpg

Oh, that is just ****ing swell. Oh seven has more winners, oh six has more participants, and oh five is dead even! Between the years: a one-percent difference. But you sycophants are dumber than a lobotomized rock if you think I’m done yet. If I can show that the number of participants in each year is statistically different than the number of winners, then we know that, one way or another, Game Revolution has join date bias. We’re busting out the big guns—it’s statistics time.

We can examine the data with something called a ‘two-sample Chi Square test’. Put simply: a chi square test looks at the squared difference between the number of winners and participants in each year--weighted by sample size--and then adds all of those differences up. This number is the chi-square value. The higher the number, the higher the differences, and the more confident we can be that the distributions of winners and participants are NOT equal with respect to their join dates. In fact, statisticians can compare the chi-square value to a special chi-square distribution and state to the percentage point their confidence that two sets of data did NOT come from the same distribution. In non-******* speak, that translates to how certain we are that Game Revolution has been ****ing one group or the other of members over. In statistics, 95% is the generally accepted confidence level at which a statement can be credibly upheld. A 95% confidence interval for our specific data translates into a chi-square score of roughly 18.3. If the chi-square value we calculate for our data sets is 18.3 OR GREATER, then we will have statistically proven that the haiku crew at Game Revolution is lower than the boot scum on a shark-swallowed seafarer. Let’s do some math:

Maths.jpg

ARE YOU FUCKING KIDDING ME!? A FUCKING SEVEN-POINT-TWO!? Phoenix-****ing-Wright couldn't prove **** with a seven-point-two! Do you know how confident of Game Revolution's foul play we can be with a seven-point-two? 30% confident--not even a fifty-fifty shot. After all that work, there is literally LESS than no credible statistical evidence that Game Revolution has been doing anything but judging Haiku Fridays without considering join dates in any way.

 This is not to say that Game Revolution judges Haiku Fridays solely on haiku quality.

However, the weights and metrics that are used apply equally to every participant. At the end of the day, persistence and talent make consistent winners, not some arbitrary game state.

Don't believe it? Take a glance at this comparison of all time haiku winners and participants.

And from this, one truth:

You don’t win if you don’t play.

This was hard to write.

EDIT: A miscount! Chicanery! Outright bamboozlement! Taking a break from the exhaustingly rigid format imposed on the rest of the article, there was a mix-up in the Haiku Friday winners tabulation that assigned one of Lien's wins to De-Ting. This means that Lien is actually in second place with seven wins, and De-Ting is part of the triple-six trio.

Given that Lien's join date is 2008, catching this error before the launch of the article would have required major rewrites. How fortunate that I caught it just after... and had this revised winner's chart prepared in advance!
Comments
  • tinymhg
    tinymhg

    Joined: Jun 2011
    Posted: Jul 30th, 2011 at 6:11 am
    That made my head hurt. LOL anyway. Great job of “exposing” GR’s “misconduct” I feel safer with you around watchdoging these guys.
  • tinymhg
    tinymhg

    Joined: Jun 2011
    Posted: Aug 5th, 2011 at 2:03 pm
    Now all we need is an English professor to judge the quality of the haiku that are being written.
  • UghRochester
    UghRochester

    Joined: Jun 2006
    Posted: Jul 30th, 2011 at 10:48 am
    I like how you go into so much detail to expose GR. Even though some of this could be true, it's because the winners got great poetry NOT attrition. I don't care about your graphs to help prove a point. It's not their fault their skills of haiku make them win so much. I'm not trying to insult you, but why don't you try exposing Blake's Mystery Game. Where you'll see most of the winners are Longo, LinksOcarina, and I. It seems you're not trying to expose GR, but more like you're trying to get their trafficking even less. Are you a secret spy from another website? Do I have to go get Cole Phelps to interrogate you?
  • sliverstorm
    sliverstorm

    Joined: Jun 2007
    Posted: Jul 30th, 2011 at 11:25 am
    I think it's important for everyone else reading this to know that UghRochester has zero Haiku Friday wins and SEVENTY-SEVEN entries (the highest by far). Talk about disproving the attrition theory... now what was that you were saying about skill? On a serious note, I do agree with you. I wrote the article from the contrarian position because I think it makes for a more entertaining read watching a villain get hoisted by his own petard. Everything in this article supports what you are saying. All the evidence I have found--and I do mean all because I have a double-checked, hand-entered list of all 1,475 unique entrants into the first 100 contests--supports the notion that the attribute affecting winning more than all others is skill.
  • UghRochester
    UghRochester

    Joined: Jun 2006
    Posted: Jul 31st, 2011 at 10:24 am
    Never said I was a "great" haiku writer LMAO. You were saying, "Exposed: Haiku Fridays biased in favor of veterans!" I'm in the same class of Lien and De-Ting. I'm PROOF that even if you're a veteran, and have NO SKILL, even with attrition I still don't have that great of a chance. Yes, I know I never won Haiku Friday. I thank you for seeing how many times I did enter. I'm positive you're not the only one who feels this way. As I looked into the forums, I remember somebody posting about this, but they were talking about it being in favor of some members. Can't remember it too well, nor did I find it yet. Anyways, again I THANK YOU for providing this information, great entry, but I still don't feel GR is in favor of the veterans, maybe several memebers, but not veterans. Again, great entry and I love reading them. Also to help get your facts straight, I won Haiku several of times. You know, when they were giving out thousands of beta codes lol.
  • UghRochester
    UghRochester

    Joined: Jun 2006
    Posted: Jul 31st, 2011 at 10:24 am
    D'oh! *Friday
  • UghRochester
    UghRochester

    Joined: Jun 2006
    Posted: Jul 31st, 2011 at 10:30 am
    And I nominated it for TPS
  • sliverstorm
    sliverstorm

    Joined: Jun 2007
    Posted: Jul 31st, 2011 at 10:07 pm
    If you're being sarcastic or I'm misunderstanding you, then I apologize for responding. Again, I think we agree completely. The title of the article is ironic--like you said, there is no statistical evidence that GR favors vets. Someone else mentioning it was what motivated me to write this article, actually. My point about persistence is only that, with the exception of LawnGnome, who is some kind of walking haiku god, you have to play a lot to win a lot.
  • De-Ting
    De-Ting

    Joined: Nov 2006
    Posted: Jul 31st, 2011 at 11:41 am
    "De-Ting, a forumer who famously convinced Blake Morse that surgically exposing and then swallowing his own intestinal tract would perpetually power his body. " I srs lol'd @ this, mostly because I don't quite recall what you're talking about.
  • TheNesMan
    TheNesMan

    Joined: Nov 2003
    Posted: Jul 31st, 2011 at 12:39 pm
    Only winner from 2003? 100% record? Fucking right. Retiring FOR...EV.....ER.
  • tinymhg
    tinymhg

    Joined: Jun 2011
    Posted: Jul 31st, 2011 at 9:01 pm
    To watch your new 70" PLASMA TV?
  • Longo_2_guns
    Longo_2_guns

    Joined: Jun 2003
    Posted: Aug 5th, 2011 at 2:16 pm
    I'm more surprised that this wasn't on the fact that Haiku's are extremely gay.
  • cyberjim2000
    cyberjim2000

    Joined: Feb 2010
    Posted: Aug 5th, 2011 at 10:42 pm
    I was having a fine day then I found out I only have a 5% win rate on Haiku Fridays. :'(
  • tinymhg
    tinymhg

    Joined: Jun 2011
    Posted: Aug 6th, 2011 at 12:29 am
    Statistics is a harsh mistress silverstorm, look she made cyberjim2000 cry.
  • OdiousLupous
    OdiousLupous

    Joined: Jul 2011
    Posted: Aug 6th, 2011 at 11:02 am
    Never tell me the odds.
  • 213EDD
    213EDD

    Joined: Sep 2007
    Posted: Aug 6th, 2011 at 12:47 pm
    It's not true! I only win when I want to win. I mean uhh..... This is lies!
  • LinksOcarina
    LinksOcarina

    Joined: Nov 2005
    Posted: Aug 6th, 2011 at 1:08 pm
    I won this twice, and I never got a prize for either of them! Or at least, the prize advertised! (love you guys still...)
  • TheNesMan
    TheNesMan

    Joined: Nov 2003
    Posted: Aug 6th, 2011 at 4:29 pm
    Hopefully they don't forget to send that prize over to ol'gill in Canada :(
  • shandog137
    shandog137

    Joined: Mar 2007
    Posted: Aug 8th, 2011 at 4:44 pm
    I gotta start doing the Haiku thing.
  • LawnGnome
    LawnGnome

    Joined: Apr 2007
    Posted: Aug 9th, 2011 at 6:48 pm
    Alternate title for this blog entry: "LawnGnome, the Haiku God." But seriously, I don't agree that there's any bias going on at all. Using math/statistics to analyze what comes down to the judge's opinion/taste regarding someone's creative work is bound to turn up all sorts of anecdotal anomalies. If you had more details regarding the entrants (race, gender, age, etc.), I'm sure you would find even more "damning" trends that showed statistical biases (Exposed! GR Haiku Friday Favors People with Green Eyes!). I can, however, attest to my personal high rate of success. Putting things such as education, skill, creativity, etc. aside: I would enter almost every Haiku Friday just for the fun of it, but often I read someone else's haiku that blows me away so much that I know that I can't even come close, so I don't bother entering. This isn't so much because I don't think I can win, but that my internal censor keeps me from even wanting to try to come up with something since theirs was so good. In truth, I can't think of a single winning haiku that I didn't think was better than mine, or the rest, and didn't deserve to win. I agree with every judgement the GR staff has made regarding the winners of Haiku Friday. Statistics be damned, read them all and then tell me that they're wrong.
  • sliverstorm
    sliverstorm

    Joined: Jun 2007
    Posted: Aug 9th, 2011 at 8:23 pm
    The statistics in this article agree that there is no bias in the judging. You're not the only to think the opposite, so I'll chalk that up to poor writing on my part--it would have been easier to explain chi-square and the results if I wasn't trying to keep with my self-imposed haiku format. That said, when a judge openly admits that recent winners are weighted differently, there really isn't much of a question as to whether factors other than haiku quality are being taken into consideration.
  • tinymhg
    tinymhg

    Joined: Jun 2011
    Posted: Aug 11th, 2011 at 10:10 pm
    “I wrote the article from the contrarian position because I think it makes for a more entertaining read watching a villain get hoisted by his own petard.” “The statistics in this article agree that there is no bias in the judging. You're not the only (one) to think the opposite, so I'll chalk that up to poor writing on my part…” Don’t everybody hate me, but I got it on the first read through, well not all the math. The tongue-in-cheek style and the satirical send up of tabloid investigative reporting were easily picked up on. Don’t despair sliverstorm not everyone can appreciate something written on this level, but for those of us who can I say thank you for an informative and entertaining read.
  • usaglory
    usaglory

    Joined: Mar 2009
    Posted: Aug 11th, 2011 at 6:35 pm
    Best damn thing I've read all day. Sh*t, that winner's chart alone made this a worthy read; felt naked when reading the darn thing. Some of those stats really had me laughing my ass off. The one thing missing was out of all the people that have never won, whose got the most entries? Let's hand out the Epic Fail award. And yes, LawnGnome is some sort of Haiku master. You should update the chart weekly.
  • sliverstorm
    sliverstorm

    Joined: Jun 2007
    Posted: Aug 12th, 2011 at 4:32 am
    UghRochester wins the Epic Fail award, which he accepted with good humor a few posts up. In the first 100 contests, he had 77 entries and no wins. The next closest number of entries was 66 from De-Ting (with six winners). But to really put Ugh's achievement into perspective, you need to look at the next highest number of entries with no wins. That honor goes to axleblaze, with only THIRTEEN entries (thanks for being such a good sport, Ugh : ). The winner of most entries in a single contest goes to devfiz, who entered the second contest ever with eleven separate haikus. He lost to Sjvan0.
  • usaglory
    usaglory

    Joined: Mar 2009
    Posted: Aug 12th, 2011 at 7:04 am
    Well I'll be damned. A big fat congrats is in order for Ugh then (I think). One of these Fridays there should be a double Haiku event. I say open up a special Haiku competition only to those that have never won, but here's the kicker make 'em compete for a really shitty prize... and bragging rights. PS: I still cry foul, people that have recently won should have the same opportunity every contest. Then again, LawnGnome would probably kick our collective asses weekly.

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