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I think the real reason the PS Vita is doing so poorly in Japan is not the continued popularity of the PSP so much as the popularity of the 3DS. The 3DS sold 5 times as many units as the Vita in Japan last week. It even sold more than the PS Vita, PSP, and PS3 combined.
I also wanted to add to what you guys were saying about how downloading games for the PS Vita doesn't really work when on 3GS: I read an article this week that argued that it doesn't make sense to download most games at all for the Vita since they eat up memory card space. It said that since the cheapest GB/$ rate is $3.13 per GB for a $100 32GB card, it would effectively add a cost of $10.95 extra to download a 3.5GB game like Uncharted.