More Reviews
REVIEWS Dark Souls II: Crown of the Sunk Review
I was confident in my Dark Souls abilities. Then From Software released new Dark Souls II DLC.

The Swapper Review
One of 2013's best indie games swaps its way to Sony platforms.
More Previews
PREVIEWS Pillars of Eternity Preview
For Obsidian's crowdfunded love letter to Infinity Engine games like Icewind Dale and Baldur's Gate, I was impressed by its willingness to pull back the curtain and let me see the machinery behind it.
Release Dates
NEW RELEASES CounterSpy
Release date: 08/19/14

Tales of Xillia 2
Release date: 08/19/14

Plants Vs. Zombies: Garden Warfare
Release date: 08/19/14

Madden NFL 15
Release date: 08/26/14


LATEST FEATURES Water, Water Everywhere: 15 of the Best Water Worlds in Gaming
Lots of water worlds suck, but not these ones, and they're completely Kevin Costner-free.

An Updating List of PlayStation 4 Updates We Want
Sony and Microsoft have been updating their consoles regularly, but we wanted to share our own ideas for updating the PS4 firmware.
MOST POPULAR FEATURES Picking Your Gender: 5 Industry Professionals Discuss Queer Identity in Gaming
Women from Naughty Dog, ArenaNet, Harmonix, and Gamespot unite to talk about what they want from games in terms of diversity.
 
Coming Soon

LEADERBOARD
Read More Member Blogs
FEATURED VOXPOP oneshotstop
Call of Duty will never be the same
By oneshotstop
Posted on 07/28/14
       We've all been there. Everyone remembers that mission. You and your partner are climbing up the mountains in the snow, striving to pull some slick clandestine operation about getting some intel on a bad guy, or something similar (because let's face...

DAILY MANIFESTO

PS3 vs 360 - My Predictions

Posted on Wednesday, October 3 @ 21:03:57 Eastern by Duke_Ferris
Unlike most Manifesto entries, this one isn't funny, and I don't insult anyone, except the Belgians because they smell bad.

Through the random conflux of events, I sometimes get asked for my opinions about video games and the industry from strange quarters. The Dept. of Homeland Security even consulted with me about video game violence. Your tax dollars at work.

This time it was an investment banker who studies Sony and wanted to know the future. When I finished my response, I realized many of you might be interested as well, so I decided to post it here too.

Without further ado:

Sony has made a lot of mistakes the last couple years, and I'm not just talking about SCEA. But i don't think the PS3 is doomed.

On the other hand, I don't think either the 360 or the PS3 stands a chance of being the dominant Seabiscuit runaway winner, like the PS2 was. I think it will be a much closer and harder race - think  SNES vs Sega Genesis back in the day. And it's not about technology, the first Xbox was superior in every way to the PS2, the problem, as one 12 year old told me was that "Xbox is gay". ie. It's more about brand perception than actual product. The Toyota Prius is another example of this, It's not actually better than other hybrids, but it's the one everyone wants.

It's pointless to talk about the Nintendo Wii, because it's not a comparable product, and will not stop even one 'hardcore' gamer from getting a PS3 or a 360, and thus will not effect total sales.

The problem is the huge loss Sony takes on every unit sold, it's going to be rough making up that deficit without a massive sellthrough like the PS2 had. Although the 360 failure rate may mean that Microsoft's up front costs become similar. Microsoft is used to that though, where Sony is not. They took about a $2bil loss on the life of the first Xbox, and came back for more.
Short version of my prediction for this generation of machines (five year timeline):

- Microsoft H & E will show a small profit, thanks to Xbox Live subscriptions, not being a first-timer, and a closer race.

- SCE / SCEA will show a small loss, with profits from PS2 sales in emerging markets helping to offset PS3 losses.

Am I right or am I stupid? I'm sure you'll have opinions, and we'll find out either way in 4 years. (Note, SCEA = Sony Computer Entertainment America, SCE = Sony Computer Entertainment, Microsoft H & E = Microsoft Home & Entertainment Division)



comments powered by Disqus

More On GameRevolution